IRA

Originally posted 1/25/25

South Dakota has around ~54,000 residents enrolled in ACA exchange plans, 94% of whom are currently subsidized. I estimate they also have another ~3,000 unsubsidized off-exchange enrollees.

Combined, that's ~58,000 people, although assuming the national average 6.6% net enrollment attrition rate applies, current enrollment would be back down to more like 54,000 statewide.

via Vermont's Green Mountain Care Board:

May 13, 2025

Green Mountain Care Board Receives 2026 QHP Rate Requests Amid Rising Health Care Costs

Montpelier, VT – On May 12, 2025, the Green Mountain Care Board (GMCB) received the 2026 individual and small group health insurance premium rate filings from BlueCross and BlueShield of Vermont and MVP Health Plan. The filings will be posted on GMCB’s rate review website. The average rate increases being requested are shown below:

Originally posted 1/30/25

Vermont has around ~32,000 residents enrolled in ACA exchange plans, 93% of whom are currently subsidized. I estimate they also have another ~2,000 unsubsidized off-exchange enrollees.

Combined, that's ~35,000 people, although the official carrier rate filings claim it's more like 36,000 statewide.

Originally posted 12/12/24

Washington State has around ~308,000 residents enrolled in ACA exchange plans, 73% of whom are currently subsidized. I estimate they also have another ~29,000 unsubsidized off-exchange enrollees.

Combined, that's ~338,000 people, although assuming the national average 6.6% net enrollment attrition rate applies, current enrollment would be back down to more like 305,000 statewide.

Originally posted 1/07/25

Tennessee has around ~642,000 residents enrolled in ACA exchange plans, 95% of whom are currently subsidized. I estimate they also have another ~9,000 unsubsidized off-exchange enrollees.

Combined, that's ~652,000 people, although assuming the national average 6.6% net enrollment attrition rate applies, current enrollment would be back down to more like 609,000 statewide.

Originally posted 12/17/24

Utah has around ~421,000 residents enrolled in ACA exchange plans, 95% of whom are currently subsidized. I estimate they also have another ~17,000 unsubsidized off-exchange enrollees.

Combined, that's ~438,000 people, although assuming the national average 6.6% net enrollment attrition rate applies, current enrollment would be back down to more like 410,000 statewide.

Originally posted 12/30/24

New Jersey has around ~513,000 residents enrolled in ACA exchange plans, 85% of whom are currently subsidized. I estimate they also have another ~76,000 unsubsidized off-exchange enrollees.

Combined, that's ~590,000 people, although assuming the national average 6.6% net enrollment attrition rate applies, current enrollment would be back down to more like 550,000 statewide.

Originally posted 1/26/25

Illinois has around ~466,000 residents enrolled in ACA exchange plans, 90% of whom are currently subsidized. I estimate they also have another ~57,000 unsubsidized off-exchange enrollees.

Combined, that's ~523,000 people, although assuming the national average 6.6% net enrollment attrition rate applies, current enrollment would be back down to more like 488,000 statewide.

Originally posted 1/03/25

Oregon has around ~140,000 residents enrolled in ACA exchange plans, 80% of whom are currently subsidized. I estimate they also have another ~34,000 unsubsidized off-exchange enrollees.

Combined, that's ~173,000 people, although assuming the national average 6.6% net enrollment attrition rate applies, current enrollment would be back down to more like 162,000 statewide.

Originally posted 12/20/24

Oklahoma has around ~293,000 residents enrolled in ACA exchange plans, 93% of whom are currently subsidized. I estimate they also have another ~7,000 unsubsidized off-exchange enrollees.

Combined, that's ~315,000 people, although assuming the national average 6.6% net enrollment attrition rate applies, current enrollment would be back down to more like 300,000 statewide.